4.1 Is the Earth Heading for Climate Catastrophe?


Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas.  It acts somewhat like the glass in a greenhouse.  The glass in a greenhouse lets light in which turns to heat when it hits the ground.  The glass only lets the heat out slowly so the air inside the greenhouse heats up.  Like glass, carbon dioxide slows down heat from escaping the earth into space. 

Climate alarmists say that our earth is heating up to dangerous levels because we burn fuel that produces carbon dioxide.  We know that carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas so they must be right, correct? 

If we use the scientific method to evaluate this we don't conclude a hypothesis is correct just because it sounds reasonable and we don't know what's wrong with it.  We test the hypothesis.  We make predictions based on the hypothesis and see if the predictions come true.

Scientists and others have already made catastrophic predictions based on the global warming hypothesis and they have all been wrong.  Here are some of the wrong predictions that have been made.

Date Prediction Made Date Prediction was Supposed to Come True Prediction
1969: 1989 We must realize that unless we're extremely lucky, everybody will disappear in a cloud of steam in 20 years.  This prediction was made by Paul Erlich and published by the New York Times.
1970: 1980 Oceans Dead in a Decade, US Water Rationing by 1974, Food Rationing by 1980
1970 2000 Air pollution may obliterate the sun and cause a new ice age in the first third of the next century.  This is a quote of a scientist published by the Boston Globe.
1972 1982 Maurice Strong, first UN Environment Program director warned that "the world had just 10 years to avoid catastrophe"  He was predicting global cooling.
1982 2000 UN predicted planetary “devastation as complete, as irreversible as any nuclear holocaust”
1988 2018 Manhattan underwater
1988: 1990s Large Areas of the Earth will Dry Out
1988: 2018 Maldive Islands will Be Underwater
1989: 2000 Rising Sea Levels will Obliterate Nations if Nothing Done
1989: 2019 New York City’s West Side Highway Underwater
1989: 2000 UN Warns That Entire Nations Wiped Off the Face of the Earth From Global Warming
1995 2025 Most of the beaches on the East Coast of the United States will be gone/
2000: 2000 Snowfalls Are Now a Thing of the Past
2000: 2003 Dr. Viner a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit of the University of East Anglia, said that in England "Within a Few Years Children Won’t Know what Snow Is".  Over the next decade, not only did British children still retain the lost knowledge of what snow is, but the UK was hammered with record snowfalls. Eight years later over 3,000 schools had to be closed and much of the country was shut down by the heaviest snowfall in 18 years.
2002: 2012 Famine In 10 Years If We Don’t Give Up Eating Fish, Meat, and Dairy
2005: 2020 Prediction of Fifty Million Climate Refugees
2008 2008 Norway and Canada's  experts predicted Artic will be ice free that summer.  Lewis Pugh tried to kayak to the pole from Norway after hearing these predictions but after only 30 miles was blocked by ice.  You can see many more predictions about the Artic being ice free in one of Tony Heller's videos.
2008: 2018 Arctic will Be Ice Free
2008: 2013 Climate "expert" Al Gore Predicts Ice-Free Arctic
2009: 2017 Climate "expert" Prince Charles Says we Have 96 Months to Save World
2009: 2009 UK Prime Minister Says 50 Days to ‘Save The Planet From Catastrophe’
2009: 2014 Climate "expert" Al Gore Moves 2013 Prediction of Ice-Free Arctic to 2014
2010   Democratic Congressman Hank Johnson Worried that the Island of Guam will tip over
2011 2019 Prince Charles calculated that “we have just 96 months left to save the world.” 
2012 2020 Professor McPherson of the University of Arizona predicts mass die off by 2020
2012 2022 Washington Post predicts cherry trees will bloom as early as February due to global warming.
2013: 2015 Artic will be ice free
2014 2016 Only 500 Days Before ‘Climate Chaos’
2005 : 2015 Manhattan underwater
2018 2023 Greta Thunberg tweets  “A climate scientist is warning that climate change will wipe out all of humanity unless we stop using fossil fuels over the next five years.”  2023 comes humanity isn't wiped out and Greta deletes her tweet. 
2019 2031 Alexandria Ocasio Cortez says the world will end in 12 years if climate change not addressed.
2019 2021 Prince Charles says we have just 18 monthes left to fix climate change
2019 2031 Rasmussen survey shows that 48% of Likely U.S. Voters agree that the United States has only 12 years to aggressively fight climate change or else there will be disastrous and irreparable damage to the country and the world.
2021 2022 Denver Post warned that “climate change is shrinking the Colorado ski season.”.  In 2022 Vail extended its skiing season for “the longest continuous season in Vail Mountain history” In February 2022, Denver broke weather records to hit the coldest temperature in 109 years. At a balmy -7 degrees, the latest outbreak of global warming plunged the city down to a low that had not been seen since 1899.


Even Big Bird from Sesame Street is predicting climate disaster.  The following poster is on a bus stop opposite my apartment.



According to the above predictions by 2003 snowfalls were going to be a "thing of the past".  The following video was taken in California on March 2023.


This video of frozen over Lake Tahoe which is on the border of California and Nevada was also taken in 2023.



 The video below is of a weather forecast on December 21 2022 for most of the United States.



Why haven't these predictions come to pass?  Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas?  One reason is we don't know how much carbon dioxide will heat the planet.  Maybe the amounts only have a much smaller effect than climate alarmists would have us believe.

One of the predictions made above by Alexandria Ocasio Cortez (AOC) in 2019 is that the world will end in 12 years (by 2031) because of global warming.  We don't know if it will or not since it's not 2031 yet, however given all the previous predictions that didn't come to pass it is likely that if the world ends by 2031 it won't be because of climate change.  She says we shouldn't use fossil fuels.  If we don't the price of everything will go up and people will be poorer and won't have enough money to pay to heat their homes.  She makes the prediction as well as a lot of other hair raising statements about climate change in the video below. 

The world has already ended for many people in England who died because they couldn't afford their heating bills that went up because of green energy.  People are starving in Ghana and Sri Lanka because of green energy policies.  A lesson in this series on climate discusses this.

One of the predictions above was that the Artic would be ice free by 2015.  Not only is the Artic not ice free but there is a report that the Artic ice and Antartica ice expanded between 2020 and 2021.  That's according to the Ocean and Sea Ice Satellite Application Facility's High Latitude Processing Center.  

Tony Heller shows how global alarmist predictions and propaganda are not panning out in the video below.


One of the predictions at the start of this web page was that the Maldives would be underwater by 2018.  The Maldives consists of 1,192 coral islands and they're above water and it's 2022 as I write this.  Tony Heller posted a video taken by a webcam at the beach of one of the Maldive Islands with people enjoying the beach.  In the excerpt of another video by Tony Heller that I've included below we see the Maldive government holding an underwater meeting to convince people that their country is in danger of drowning.  In the video below Tony Heller explains why everything the climate alarmists predicted in regards to coral and the Maldives is wrong.




One would think that every time a prediction of climate doom doesn't come to pass climate alarmists would start wondering if they know what they are talking about but instead they often increase the scaryness of their predictions.  Here is a video that was posted on MSN in October 2022, that shows the climate alarmists getting scarier by the minute.


Here is a report of record cold in the United States in that same month.  There is a lesson here.  It's easy to draw animations of steam coming off the earth.  It's easy to show clips of fires and scare people.  Reality however can be completely different.


For more examples of record setting cold click here.


Here is a video that shows just how wrong the predictions of the climate are.  This video is from Sept of 2020



In the video below Tony Heller talks about cold and snow records in January 2021.  He starts by quoting from a novel written by George Orwell in 1949.  George Orwell called the novel 1984.  His book predicted a world in which a bad government would control people through deception and by not letting them speak the truth.  Not letting people speak the truth is called censorship.  Censorship is being done today by Youtube, Facebook, Twitter and other media such as newspapers and TV.  The quote from George Orwell was "The party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears.  By party George Orwell meant the government.  The government was lying to the people but the people could see and hear things that showed them the government was lying.  So the government didn't want people to believe what they saw and heard.  Tony Heller says that is happening with climate.  We see snow and we feel cold but people want us to believe that the world is warming.




Unusual cold and snow keeps happening.  Here is a video from Cincinnati in April 2021.  Cincinnati was just one of many cities hit with record cold in April. 


Here some people from Minnesota are so cold they sing "Wish We Had Some Global Warming"


Here is a graph of carbon dioxide and temperature from 1996 to 2012. 

Carbon dioxide went up from about 362 ppm to 395 ppm during that time.  PPM means parts per million.  That's an increase of 395 - 362 = 33 ppm.  That means that every gallon of air had an increase of 33 millionth of a gallon of carbon dioxide.  There are 75,708 drops in a gallon.  That means the increase in carbon dioxide in a gallon is 33/1000,000 * 75,708 = only 2.5 drops.  The light blue line on the graph is the variation of temperature from the usual temperature for different dates.   The blue arrow averages these changes and shows that the total increase was only 3 hundredth of a degree over 16 years.  That's not surprising because the increase in carbon dioxide compared to the atmosphere is so small.  What is so surprising is that global warming alarmists can scare so many people over such a  tiny increase in carbon dioxide.

Climate scientists traveled toward the North Pole to evaluate the melting of the Artic ocean.  The ocean they thought they could travel in froze around them trapping them.  You can see a picture of their trapped boat below.

Another group of scientists were trapped by ice in the Antartica.  A doctored image of the trapped ship is shown below with the words "An Inconvenient Truth" which is the name of a movie that says we face a climate emergency.  The inconvenient truth really is that they're wrong and it's inconvenient because the climate alarmist ship was trapped by ice.

Global warming alarmists want to impose huge costs on everyone and they tell us these costs are necessary to fight climate change.  They make the cost of fuel very expensive so that we will use less fuel with the result that the cost of everything goes up.  Fuel is needed to produce food, fuel is needed to bring food to the supermarket, fuel is needed to heat the supermarket in winter and cool it in summer.  All these costs get passed to the consumer as the cost of food goes up.  If people aren't aware of this and of how much global warming alarmism is wrong, they won't act to stop it from happening.  While global warmists create panic about the climate they may bring about economic disaster. When I posted a link to this web page in the comment section of a global warming article Facebook censored it.  That is probably because global warming alarmists who saw the comment tagged it as fraud.  The people who stifle free speech deserve what is happening but the rest of us don't.

The cost of fuel makes it harder for our companies to compete.  They have to charge more for their products with the result that people will buy cheaper products from China and India, countries that continue to use cheap energy.  Not only do those countries use cheap energy they use coal instead of gas which emits more carbon dioxide and more pollution as well.  Despite the huge expenditures of Europe and the United States on green energy, the amount of worldwide carbon dioxide emissions has continued to increase.  Ironically American and European expenditures on expensive green energy actually increases carbon dioxide emissions.  It also increases inflation.

Michael Moore made a movie called Planet of the Humans, which demonstrates multiple ways that reliance on green energy actually increases carbon dioxide emissions as well as toxic waste.

Here is a video of Guy McPherson predicting that human life will end by 2026 due to global warming.  Human lives will end due to hunger caused by hyperinflation, cold due to not enough energy to keep warm, and wars but the absurdity of his predictions speak for themselves.  This material is not covered on the quiz and is just included here to make a point.






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